Us Politics · resolved market
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e7a9c31e24ced9066783eb22caa4611b10e817798db5486915e2372ac6a7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed No | 1c | 51,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 0c | 19,086$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 55c | 14,212$7,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,804.81 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 45c | 13,730$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,556.59 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 45c | 12,994$5,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,146.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…a0d0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 2c | 7,158$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked No | 17c | 6,052$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.17 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…dfadbacked No | 47c | 5,349$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…a209backed No | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 64c | 4,096$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.57 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,797$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…1412backed No | 14c | 3,252$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 59c | 3,225$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.3 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…e7abbacked Yes | 55c | 2,235$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,187$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 50c | 1,747$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 38c | 1,392$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.69 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 1,165$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 53c | 923.41$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.41 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 17c | 784.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…02b6backed No | 46c | 764.82$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 40c | 743.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 46c | 700$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 41c | 559.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.15 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 23c | 491.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 49c | 456.85$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.15 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 454.74$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.49 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 18c | 444.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 64c | 433.85$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 51c | 426.58$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.45 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 39c | 407.87$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 50c | 401.6$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 47c | 388.51$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…1ff9backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626b…6780backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 54c | 299.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 254.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…14d2backed Yes | 60c | 253.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…fe4ebacked Yes | 75c | 236.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 211.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 203.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…3572backed Yes | 60c | 197$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…b0a6backed Yes | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 50c | 181.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…a0b9backed Yes | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead4…20e3backed Yes | 27c | 170.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +339.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 48c | 165.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…a5d3backed Yes | 15c | 164.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +356.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed Yes | 63c | 161$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…ac7abacked No | 61c | 145.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 50c | 139.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 50c | 135.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 56c | 127.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 79c | 125.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 64c | 123.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 46c | 120.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 45c | 106.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…710cbacked No | 67c | 104.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1dcfbacked Yes | 41c | 103.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 73c | 101.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…92adbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…28f9backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…69febacked Yes | 42c | 98.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked Yes | 32c | 80.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…06febacked No | 52c | 67.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276e…9511backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…03efbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…efb1backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…e0c2backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…2759backed Yes | 44c | 45.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…02b9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9768…a99abacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 52c | 39.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 43c | 34.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 45c | 33.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e35…c354backed Yes | 52c | 29.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…7cc7backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…4c0dbacked Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 62c | 27.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd4…e5e0backed Yes | 52c | 25.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…bfb0backed No | 47c | 24.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 74c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…f07abacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked No | 58c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 51c | 20.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…5199backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.