TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x50f7…3da2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
363
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT17753.1%94 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.75
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.41
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.67
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$79.51
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.87
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.93
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.24
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$129.54
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.8
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.71
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.29
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$38.92
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$52.22
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.68
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.54
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$709.46
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.22
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.6%+$90.33
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+67.1%+$665.32
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.1%+$44.27
Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.77
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+241.9%+$168.87
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.44
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.14
Will Trump send the national guard to New York City by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.26
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.03
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+655.7%+$376.81
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+29.6%+$42.87
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$587.82
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$822.21
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$77.04
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+155.9%+$227.75
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$107.4
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+68.3%+$327.94
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+147.1%+$442.87
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.7%+$101.27
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$63.66
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.72
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.69
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+41.8%+$23.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+36.3%+$6.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$213.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.1%+$51.11
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$74.29
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.41
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39.02
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$91.82
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+107.1%+$252.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+484.5%+$476.62
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.95
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.7%+$8.95
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.3%+$10.14
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$28.52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$133.42
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+72.4%+$41.76
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+82.2%+$46.87
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$358.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,063Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$1,006.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$107.13
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.8%+$1,397.95
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$297.97
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$583.52
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.55
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$209.8
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$28.13
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$48.64
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+66%+$66.42
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$27.03
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$126.84
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$3,198.68
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,061Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+58.7%+$2,972.83
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+109.3%+$849.13
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$114.59
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$30.95
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+68.9%+$10.33
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+190.3%+$76.13
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.25
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+264.5%+$445.22
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500.72
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.33
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: McCartney Kessler vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.05
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjenbacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.2%+$11.72
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Janice Tjen vs Maya Jointbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+52.7%+$47.52
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.2%+$19.65
Adelaide International, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Jake Delaneybacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.2%+$7.03
Adelaide International, Qualification: Jesper de Jong vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+59.3%+$14.4
ASB Classic: Sonay Kartal vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$386.78
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.08
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$43.01
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+50.1%+$72.03
All 7 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.75
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+233.2%+$58.5
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$532.01
Will "APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.95
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+73.4%+$72.45
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$66.76
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.4%+$84.2
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$48.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+111.3%+$166.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.1%+$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$128.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+30.5%+$10.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$4.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$157.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.