Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab0efa82cb3c6756a68eda94a11b6fc6c2a006b7fee41f26f3818404e44f25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 37c | 25,238$9,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,313.16 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 16c | 13,360$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.7 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…e556backed Yes | 5c | 12,912$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 5c | 12,614$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 2c | 11,366$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed Yes | 29c | 10,909$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +714.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731d…32c9backed Yes | 18c | 10,450$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…514cbacked Yes | 37c | 10,414$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 9,424$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 36c | 8,891$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 68c | 8,351$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…2765backed Yes | 35c | 8,100$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 7,779$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.89 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 27c | 6,119$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.53 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…5882backed Yes | 18c | 5,939$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +397.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 21c | 5,900$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed Yes | 33c | 5,599$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 23c | 5,571$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.8 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 12c | 5,092$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.28 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…b315backed Yes | 9c | 4,515$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 16c | 4,343$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…ce30backed No | 65c | 4,300$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 16c | 4,269$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 6c | 4,212$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 4,076$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.4 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…6c08backed No | 65c | 3,800$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…d1d0backed Yes | 37c | 3,555$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…c3a7backed No | 80c | 3,438$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,402$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.9 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 70c | 3,298$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.1 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 23c | 3,215$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 77c | 3,171$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.02 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 10c | 3,037$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.29 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 33c | 2,998$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…7a3abacked Yes | 22c | 2,917$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…c001backed Yes | 10c | 2,884$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 11c | 2,866$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…d7e4backed Yes | 31c | 2,860$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…2985backed Yes | 11c | 2,834$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…e59fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,815$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…7fbfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,713$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…ef06backed Yes | 26c | 2,612$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…b5edbacked No | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 68c | 2,584$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf299…58c7backed Yes | 24c | 2,547$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 10c | 2,434$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 28c | 2,386$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.72 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,273$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8ab9backed Yes | 6c | 2,177$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 3c | 2,170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…1679backed Yes | 26c | 2,103$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,034$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,017$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.3 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 9c | 2,008$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 58c | 2,001$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.27 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4bb8backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…592cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,879$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…e66cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,856$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 15c | 1,850$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…6df3backed Yes | 26c | 1,802$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3496backed Yes | 18c | 1,789$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,777$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…0b28backed Yes | 17c | 1,776$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…f1a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Yes | 9c | 1,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…ec1fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,595$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…cd0bbacked No | 74c | 1,590$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 7c | 1,588$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…1d25backed Yes | 13c | 1,584$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…e02abacked Yes | 32c | 1,551$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac2…c0b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,483$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,443$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.68 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,432$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 29c | 1,394$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…334dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,390$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…abf5backed No | 74c | 1,363$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 6c | 1,362$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…e41dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,361$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,330$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 1,328$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 7c | 1,321$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…2763backed Yes | 29c | 1,303$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed Yes | 32c | 1,296$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…147ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,291$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed Yes | 34c | 1,290$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed Yes | 49c | 1,267$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.44 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +12.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…588abacked Yes | 22c | 1,259$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…6c51backed Yes | 32c | 1,250$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b3f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,238$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…be8cbacked No | 60c | 1,222$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +148%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…eb64backed Yes | 13c | 1,207$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,201$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…ad9dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,198$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +871.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,181$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Yes | 31c | 1,162$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 40c | 1,105$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 32c | 1,100$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed Yes | 34c | 1,091$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.