TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8bee…588a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$57.56
Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$57.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$393.04
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$40
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$34.48
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.36
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.13
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.84
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.87
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.24
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$60.2
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.69
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.23
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.8
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$278.4
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.41
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+175.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+140.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+400%+$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.