TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Nets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,307,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,376,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,307,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets49c355,831$173,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,001.8787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Nets0c200,088$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.366643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans52c195,048$101,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,942.61,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb4…d892backed Nets49c150,000$73,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,5003234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans50c83,411$41,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,767.191,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans51c69,656$35,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,131.291,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans47c55,996$26,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,9432,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans50c53,186$26,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,363.332,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans49c50,896$25,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,880.4860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.9743148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4761…5009backed Nets56c44,995$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,40051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Nets48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,20048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Pelicans50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Nets50c35,000$17,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,399.9920551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Nets61c32,681$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pelicans48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,599.9866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans42c29,744$12,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,197.731,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans55c21,498$11,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,722.071,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Pelicans52c20,002$10,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,600.9615841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans50c19,155$9,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,595.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans48c17,911$8,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,233.9537557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a2…1aabbacked Nets50c17,826$8,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,921.22020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Nets57c15,779$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0006540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Pelicans52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pelicans50c14,852$7,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,42617356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans50c14,505$7,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,200.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Nets53c13,878$7,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,355.5619653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Pelicans46c13,000$5,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,02039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Pelicans49c11,269$5,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,747.1929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans48c10,743$5,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,586.291,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pelicans52c10,500$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04047751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Pelicans48c10,437$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,427.165253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pelicans52c10,100$5,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,84814358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Pelicans51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Nets48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8007640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Pelicans52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9715740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Nets48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9714244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Pelicans49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Pelicans49c9,850$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,023.511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Pelicans42c9,807$4,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,695.9129037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Nets0c9,621$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4616343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Nets52c9,615$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.9912740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Pelicans49c8,872$4,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.7112147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans49c8,441$4,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.72,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Pelicans52c8,247$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,958.4328439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Nets51c8,194$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,181.043884.2%32 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+59.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets49c8,136$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets50c7,885$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.743,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Nets52c7,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,66032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pelicans46c7,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.9214945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Nets53c6,999$3,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.2414055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c9b…6611backed Nets57c6,984$3,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,984.772240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Pelicans34c6,938$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.6489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Pelicans49c6,730$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.0634654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pelicans47c6,334$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.1828742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets50c6,300$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa13b…7284backed Nets0c6,026$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.36540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Nets51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans44c5,615$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans37c5,500$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4451,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49aa…7fc7backed Pelicans45c5,425$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…20c4backed Nets54c5,326$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pelicans52c5,240$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.246342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Nets21c4,971$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.711723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-62.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans52c4,728$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.452,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa81e…c4b9backed Pelicans46c4,713$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948d…409fbacked Nets54c4,670$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Nets54c4,377$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.822459.4%133 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans62c4,325$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.521,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Nets50c4,224$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11131455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Pelicans47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Nets49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Pelicans53c3,993$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.9623052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Nets10c3,858$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2535326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked Pelicans46c3,792$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.263458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Nets59c3,672$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.455345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pelicans42c3,545$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.0422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Nets49c3,519$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.5915549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1648…3ab3backed Pelicans77c3,433$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.343100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Nets8c3,383$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6439744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Pelicans47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4915435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Pelicans47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4929347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Nets50c3,036$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.686939.1%27 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Nets51c3,000$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nets50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nets49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets50c2,800$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.0486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed Nets51c2,770$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.757537.3%28 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Pelicans44c2,666$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.679740.2%39 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Nets57c2,638$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.5350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans46c2,608$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.3585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pelicans52c2,572$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.972,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets56c2,560$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.