NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8340a89a20cbf7170059220da461a65b8a9e7d8dde2326430c26964bf0f6dc75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 8,771$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 4,040$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 3,613$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.91 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Under | 48c | 1,735$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.42 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 89.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over | 54c | 78.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Over | 53c | 62.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 54c | 53.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 53.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…0e63backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…441cbacked Over | 51c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 53c | 31.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…6555backed Over | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 53c | 28.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…39ccbacked Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 52c | 24.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…0d3bbacked Over | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1374…867fbacked Over | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5this page
- Nets vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Nets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Nets (-2.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.