TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$530,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c238,688$124,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,123.9987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c50,657$25,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,063.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c50,255$24,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,155.562,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under46c50,000$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,00017031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over54c41,137$22,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,214.11,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over47c19,477$9,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,154.2215952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over52c18,433$9,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,585.051,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Under51c16,284$8,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,979.1625248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c12,501$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989.42,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over48c11,111$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.2824554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c7,845$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,844.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over51c7,251$3,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,69820744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over47c6,003$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.4932051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c5,919$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over51c5,836$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c5,769$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.872,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90c…5c2fbacked Over47c5,763$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over51c5,490$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over49c5,192$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.6732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde3a…0128backed Under53c5,024$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under50c4,642$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc149…12e6backed Over47c4,573$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcab…6c20backed Under53c4,537$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4567…a75ebacked Over47c4,536$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca3…895dbacked Over47c4,532$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5862…7910backed Under53c4,523$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55f2…cd17backed Under53c4,023$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a1…2376backed Under53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c3,477$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.242,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac20…0714backed Over47c3,402$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over49c3,234$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.716650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce3…946dbacked Over47c3,200$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e2…35bdbacked Over47c2,969$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3490…7fdcbacked Under53c2,800$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x554b…6beebacked Over47c2,758$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.2640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa061…f95abacked Over47c2,700$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x486c…d48dbacked Over47c2,700$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a1…9596backed Under53c2,400$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c2,316$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…e9afbacked Over47c2,278$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over51c2,156$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.5652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c2,130$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.1947856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6003…2ce9backed Over47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed77…699ebacked Under53c2,020$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4448…4796backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c1,712$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.333,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5750…a2dbbacked Over47c1,666$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d5…759ebacked Under53c1,525$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Over48c1,483$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.629037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb796…27c4backed Under53c1,427$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,407$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579d…3a38backed Under53c1,399$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under54c1,300$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.1217540.6%71 W · 104 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0165…63e5backed Under53c1,297$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6364,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under54c1,193$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.093,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c1,179$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.222,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8b…1924backed Under53c1,155$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.85650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407f…b34dbacked Under53c1,099$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc9…6523backed Under53c1,044$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…09c4backed Under53c1,042$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.74650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8605…5384backed Under53c998$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134d…0555backed Over49c972$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.28650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f77…f946backed Under51c937$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19c7…2d87backed Over49c936$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49eb…6102backed Under51c925$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Over55c910.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006838.2%26 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3bd…e36dbacked Under51c899$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a9…7b04backed Over49c888$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.12650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over48c863$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.2458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbb…3947backed Under51c858$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…6984backed Over49c823$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.27650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c820$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.62,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7539…54f0backed Under53c622$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Over3c600$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over53c551.04$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0535749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over55c454.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.999942.4%42 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a67…c54fbacked Under53c414$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c394$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.862,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over22c383.29$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Over10c300$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over40c290.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over42c240.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over52c196$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9254351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under53c184.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9162546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over52c162.56$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7847349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Under54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1524533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c125.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.612,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over18c124.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.648156.8%46 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over48c112$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.821,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Under76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.265942.4%25 W · 34 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under48c104.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.085246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.