TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$525,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$532,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under50c351,131$175,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175,889.0787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over50c150,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,00013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c77,501$38,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,880.422,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c75,402$39,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,917.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under45c59,857$26,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,935.5717031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over55c52,937$29,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,821.521,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c17,500$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c17,403$8,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,764.792,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over50c11,111$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over51c5,172$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.346650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c5,078$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.862,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c5,047$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.983,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c4,940$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c3,490$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.691,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9837944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c2,942$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.582,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c2,041$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c2,009$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over56c1,897$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.5714742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over53c1,677$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79641553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c1,411$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.41,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over51c1,283$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.4332150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x894d…7a18backed Under50c1,235$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over56c1,195$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4312…3483backed Over50c1,167$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,158$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under48c1,155$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12a…9da0backed Over50c1,152$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7e…a24abacked Under50c1,084$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Over56c893$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.923961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c803$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.532,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb11…f67cbacked Under51c754.29$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.691030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c709.6$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.922,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over57c707.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.739942.4%42 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dea…6d36backed Under50c667.88$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over49c655.53$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.328742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2942142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29421858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over51c550.98$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9842648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over53c504.16$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.049850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Over56c450$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19817041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c411.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.693,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under44c340.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under49c306.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4340648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c290$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.41,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c252$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over50c237.42$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x895d…7267backed Under51c201.24$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004580%36 W · 9 L+12.1wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x55ba…8baebacked Over51c196.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x796e…ffcabacked Under50c194.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under48c131.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2939756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over52c125.14$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6947349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46a…3598backed Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604040%16 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44bd…8b0ebacked Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9423153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5087647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over56c95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.823946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under46c89.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c80.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.761,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over54c73.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1745460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under48c72.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.638936%32 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under48c71.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5159141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.435156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c66.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.012,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over56c60.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7216658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over57c59.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.421,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5725058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over57c51.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.977546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under44c50.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.531551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2449351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Under44c45.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994047.5%19 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Over56c44.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.451973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5636651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.628852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.647948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.