TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nets (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Nets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans56c27,640$15,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,190.091,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pelicans57c23,404$13,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,092.4820352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets44c16,376$7,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,137.743,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets45c16,220$7,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,291.7687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pelicans55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets44c8,314$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.11,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets44c7,680$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.872,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nets44c6,653$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.572,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Pelicans56c5,419$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.3115855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets42c5,325$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans56c3,688$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets44c3,061$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Nets46c2,479$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.4316335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans54c2,469$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.9337557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Nets44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Nets43c1,700$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73151753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets49c1,477$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.41,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Nets48c1,443$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.6458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans55c1,396$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.613,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Nets49c1,308$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6419655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets43c1,221$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.032,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets44c1,212$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.281,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans57c1,203$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets44c946$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.242,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Pelicans58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0738046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58d5…c64cbacked Pelicans54c728$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Pelicans58c620.69$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6912652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Nets43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Nets43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fee…5a90backed Pelicans63c565.34$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.046264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Nets42c528.69$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0537944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Nets44c472.94$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.096650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans54c463.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nets45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Nets44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Pelicans52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19228751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets49c394.92$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0986…9c4bbacked Pelicans51c392.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2519649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pelicans57c362$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.661,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Pelicans56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15416053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236a…1a3ebacked Nets44c339.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.548341%34 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Nets43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12964139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Nets45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9236854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Pelicans56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8840346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Pelicans56c195.08$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3347349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nets45c177.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8057250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Nets46c162.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.546939.1%27 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nets43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nets52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Nets44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9381845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…638abacked Pelicans54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked Pelicans50c114$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Pelicans54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1113651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Nets35c110$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Nets45c102$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6923153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…d0abbacked Pelicans54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pelicans55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.528742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nets43c84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Pelicans65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9224452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Pelicans53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0410044%44 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Nets43c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Nets43c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3834254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Nets45c65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2542146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pelicans54c62.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9650648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nets49c61.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Pelicans57c60.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2452246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Nets43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Nets43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.833147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Nets43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.86453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Nets43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Nets43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.531551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nets50c48.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.371,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Nets43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nets43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Nets45c44.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fe…dbf8backed Nets45c44.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206633.3%22 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Nets43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Pelicans58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.18958.4%52 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Nets47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Nets40c41.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Nets43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.228852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Nets43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nets43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Nets43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Pelicans58c39.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.666654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Pelicans52c38.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.591,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Nets43c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3420456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Pelicans54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.484156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Pelicans54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Nets43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Nets43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4815051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.