TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a52…c0e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
494
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT35516.3%58 W · 297 L-25.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 355 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.56
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+552.2%+$254
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$43.77
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.43
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$117
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Showing 25 of 355 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6939.1%27 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,582%+$389.09
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$108.9
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,495.67
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$149.48
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$741.22
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$161.47
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140.54
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100.6%+$708.9
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$200.37
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62.18
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$101.53
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43.59
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+43.3%+$288.92
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.39
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+115.3%+$144.31
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$94.5
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+89.5%+$410.07
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$78.31
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$807.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.55
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$495.8
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4615.2%7 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$216
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.5
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.8
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Australia (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+159.4%+$152.7
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$203.02
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$83.54
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$158.68
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$115.46
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.14
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$316.67
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+95.7%+$710.32
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.1%+$561.07
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+226%+$1,166.8
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$540
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.