TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Warriors, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Warriors58c120,000$69,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,599.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers42c109,634$46,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,587.871,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors60c53,725$32,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,144.122,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers40c40,045$16,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,026.982,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers42c24,105$10,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,892.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers50c20,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,099.961,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Warriors50c14,627$7,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,37049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors53c12,499$6,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,624.587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors53c12,106$6,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,416.182,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers42c10,932$4,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,385.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers41c10,200$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0181,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers43c9,717$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,501.911,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Warriors59c9,000$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,309.974725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Warriors60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Warriors51c4,438$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.3442648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers42c4,061$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 76ers40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked 76ers40c3,706$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked 76ers47c3,050$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.9927052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors53c2,367$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.661,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers42c2,362$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.593,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Warriors58c2,028$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.22,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed 76ers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.912759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors55c1,960$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers44c1,806$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors20c1,785$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.21,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e5…1f2fbacked 76ers44c1,443$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Warriors50c1,388$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers39c1,149$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.892,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers66c1,118$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Warriors54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Warriors49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 76ers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a0…610ebacked Warriors51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers44c586.57$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed 76ers46c563.21$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.181,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Warriors54c557$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7840648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed 76ers74c540$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.413158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Warriors56c514.68$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Warriors53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.519531.3%61 W · 134 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers45c437.71$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked 76ers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Warriors55c399.47$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors59c372$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4885147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Warriors54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers52c348.51$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Warriors55c238$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.91,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Warriors54c224.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12143453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked 76ers45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Warriors51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Warriors55c175.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4934047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers53c170.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.131,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Warriors47c139.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.932,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Warriors57c136$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0741048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed 76ers42c135.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e6…7dc4backed Warriors54c128.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.373534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd75…ae75backed Warriors60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Warriors54c114.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.186939.1%27 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed 76ers53c111.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4947045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Warriors54c111.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4525143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked 76ers57c110.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1517547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers44c109.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5592750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Warriors59c108.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6428554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors55c108.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4436247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed 76ers41c102.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0950948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors31c101.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.43,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Warriors53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5337750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Warriors53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed 76ers40c95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Warriors54c94.45$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121243.4%92 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked 76ers49c93.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8821352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Warriors55c89.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0218644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed 76ers47c88.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 76ers50c84.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.950651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed 76ers41c83.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9522140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Warriors54c81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7420448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Warriors55c78.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.021,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Warriors42c75.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4747349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed 76ers65c73.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5619050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed 76ers41c72.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4317949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Warriors56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Warriors54c66.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.74425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors53c58.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8753043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed Warriors54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe88e…9f4dbacked 76ers47c53.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Warriors42c50.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Warriors54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2738252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked 76ers47c46.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8154854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1b…4512backed Warriors54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Warriors54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed 76ers47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5522556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked 76ers47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.558055%44 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed 76ers40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410046%46 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked 76ers40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed 76ers72c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Warriors53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7337…0cd1backed Warriors54c36.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.953551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.