TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9310…569f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
295
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST9745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.08
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+115.1%+$23.02
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.9
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.52
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST4759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.67
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Canadiens vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+141%+$28.2
Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.1%+$9.81
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.8%+$11.75
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+41.1%+$15.75
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+55.5%+$18.55
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$47.8
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.8%+$14.47
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+48.3%+$10.78
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+39.5%+$7.53
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.44
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST4151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. UC Riverside Highlandersbacked UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$19.57
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
New Orleans Privateers vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.89
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-14.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+138.1%+$22.54
Monmouth Hawks vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$19.5
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
American Eagles vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.56
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-23.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.71
Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-4.5)backed Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.83
Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.02
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$19.01
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$19.6
Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-11.5)backed Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.75
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.78
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.03
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.95
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kuopion PS vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+150%+$23.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.88
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+46.6%+$9.83
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$16.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+270.8%+$52.98
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+57.6%+$13.05
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.7%+$10.33
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$42.2
LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked FRK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.38
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$22.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$13.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.27
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$6.69
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.6%+$4.35
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.9%+$10.36
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+52.8%+$15.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+48.2%+$9.63
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+94.2%+$18.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.4%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.