TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Bulls, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$440,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls49c80,602$39,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,494.9487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,399.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,199.9743148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls50c33,704$16,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,881.712,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets50c30,525$15,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,385.352,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nets52c20,736$10,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,953.361,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nets51c20,700$10,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,14359347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets49c14,396$7,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,341.938253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets48c12,659$6,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,557.081,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8801,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls50c10,869$5,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,436.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets50c9,120$4,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Nets52c9,064$4,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.5726949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets51c7,500$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls54c7,404$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls49c6,996$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.041,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Nets51c6,300$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bulls52c5,251$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.671,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Nets49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.0410252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls49c5,007$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.432,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Bulls53c4,147$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.435846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Nets51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Nets52c3,815$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.0787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Nets49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bulls53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Bulls53c2,625$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.471,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls50c2,598$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets52c2,404$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.7565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets50c2,383$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.371,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls50c2,232$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.312,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Bulls52c2,024$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.4558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bulls48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Bulls51c1,884$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.783850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Bulls55c1,654$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Nets52c1,596$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.1547856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nets49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9940947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Nets46c1,318$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.7214663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets50c1,242$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.213,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Bulls51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Bulls49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets48c928.76$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.543,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Bulls51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Bulls52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls53c768.9$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.2989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Bulls54c670$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Nets51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29422845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x516b…5a77backed Bulls52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nets48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls48c517.19$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.252,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bulls51c511$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.32560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Nets47c500.05$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.699051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets53c497$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Nets49c454.25$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Bulls53c440$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.28252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Nets46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls52c392.78$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.253,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Bulls51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Nets52c390$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.227052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Bulls52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Bulls52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Bulls52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Bulls53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15925559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Bulls54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Nets47c293.96$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.820356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Nets52c283.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.022470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets50c281.8$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bulls47c244.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.752,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Bulls54c235.94$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Bulls51c226.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.746839.7%27 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5974…2a69backed Nets47c213.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.593953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Bulls50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Bulls53c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ff…5311backed Nets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Bulls51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Nets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Nets51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c12…b8f3backed Bulls52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Bulls53c191.78$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Bulls54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae25…61b9backed Bulls6c184.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.011361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets50c176.74$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls45c171.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.813,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Bulls53c162.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0830945.3%140 W · 169 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bulls41c158.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8823845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nets54c158.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.561,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Nets50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7525347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Bulls52c140.16$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets48c135$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.566,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb9…2b21backed Bulls53c131.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Nets52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets47c113.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.341,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Bulls51c113.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4440849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Nets48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Nets52c106$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.883342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bulls47c102$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.