NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 224.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3780a0ac64022e2e2b85e10341c679e3c5c7a9407515549547d7db73071cec38

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,992 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x43a4…7170backed Under	55c	6,895$3,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,784.03	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x60af…fa39backed Under	58c	4,909$2,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,846.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	4,512$2,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,469.36	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bfc…1b1bbacked Over	42c	2,909$1,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,686.99	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+121.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	45c	2,031$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.95	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2305…8087backed Over	42c	1,500$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	47cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	39c	1,268$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774.39	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over	43c	1,016$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.81	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbabb…533cbacked Over	42c	500$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	62c	332.52$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.74	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over	46c	302.85$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.54	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	259.33$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.37	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	51c	221.28$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.3	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	53c	217.38$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.35	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	95.42$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.05	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under	54c	66.89$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	189	57.1%108 W · 81 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	49c	60.2$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.7	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	61c	51.85$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.77	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa999…dcbfbacked Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	44c	50.83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.46	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under	60c	43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	408	49%200 W · 208 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	51c	39.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over	47c	38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.14	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.14	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over	50c	31.05$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.53	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under	68c	23.27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 224.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event