TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf4a4…3117backed Under10c1,000$100 inLost-$10028616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c455.96$228 inWon+$227.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over42c386.63$162 inWon+$224.271,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c201.78$101 inLost-$100.9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c171.38$84 inWon+$87.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over38c169.74$65 inWon+$104.7433730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c147.99$75 inLost-$75.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c107.61$54 inLost-$54.1142551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under56c100$56 inLost-$5642348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost-$5041354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over31c76.03$23 inWon+$52.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c65.36$29 inWon+$36.69,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon+$33.832147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under71c54.99$39 inLost-$38.8422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under53c51.86$28 inLost-$27.6740849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c49.41$25 inLost-$24.73,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f9…cfc4backed Under56c44.14$25 inLost-$24.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under64c40$26 inLost-$25.610558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Under68c36.8$25 inLost-$256453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over32c33.4$11 inWon+$22.641,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59bf…caffbacked Under56c29$16 inLost-$16.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e13…9d7ebacked Under56c28$16 inLost-$15.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over55c21.07$12 inWon+$9.483,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Under68c20$14 inLost-$13.63754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4f…97debacked Under56c18$10 inLost-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.