NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 218.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf265b8bf5d1f495cd13400252ae7ece79d8d3ae5bbe6cf574cbc645936da0118

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $189,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $211,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,795 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	49c	83,468$40,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,568.91	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	51c	69,026$35,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,203.5	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,649.99	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over	49c	14,030$6,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,118.6	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	12,863$6,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,395.07	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Over	50c	10,103$5,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,051.51	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over	50c	9,798$4,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,865.98	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	8,563$4,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,264.06	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under	50c	3,980$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	52c	3,813$1,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,831.22	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	48c	3,752$1,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800.86	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under	52c	2,885$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	51c	2,305$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.11	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	51c	1,347$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.86	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	53c	1,133$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.49	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	50c	1,014$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	183	45.4%83 W · 100 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	50c	908$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	782.72$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.43	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	50c	638.55$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.28	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over	48c	410$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.2	139	37.4%52 W · 87 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…5e13backed Over	52c	388.58$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.52	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over	49c	306.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.12	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	50c	300$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over	51c	299.99$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	255	59.2%151 W · 104 L	+13.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	52c	299.98$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.99	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Over	49c	244.23$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.56	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-6.3wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	52c	195$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Over	48c	150$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	50c	146.51$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.96	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	59c	127.2$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.17	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0e…b2cbbacked Over	48c	100.48$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over	51c	96.71$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.39	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	48c	85.63$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	52c	74.74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.86	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	49c	63.27$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	53c	58.96$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.25	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329e…2eafbacked Under	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-11.5wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Over	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	100	69%69 W · 31 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…3315backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa206…0f9bbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under	50c	39.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	52c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under	52c	32.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	52c	32.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.58	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under	48c	25.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43af…da96backed Under	53c	20.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c7…b84abacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	193	46.1%89 W · 104 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under	53c	19.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	191	47.1%90 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 218.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event