TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Netsof Bulls, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,186 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets41c849$347 inWon+$502.42,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nets42c706.47$296 inWon+$410.6348956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Nets24c661.42$159 inWon+$502.6813429.9%40 W · 94 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a9…591fbacked Bulls58c565.46$330 inLost-$3301450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c5…d656backed Bulls59c423.93$250 inLost-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Bulls58c372.98$216 inLost-$216.332050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Bulls59c329.42$195 inLost-$195.477045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Bulls61c328.16$200 inLost-$200.184037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets39c250$98 inWon+$152.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Nets33c120$40 inWon+$80.443246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets42c100$42 inWon+$583,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf490…cdd9backed Bulls59c93.22$55 inLost-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Bulls54c53.66$29 inLost-$2940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5efa…5cacbacked Bulls58c28.64$17 inLost-$16.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6831…08b7backed Bulls55c27$15 inLost-$14.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8b…2f4ebacked Bulls55c20$11 inLost-$11650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.