TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe88b…fa5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
937
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST43246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 432 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$93.03
Magic vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.45
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$133.2
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$24.28
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.98
76ers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$198.8
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.19
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$29
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.59
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.57
Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$90.07
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Kings vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Pistons vs. Bulls: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60.2
76ers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$61.2
Magic vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$26.68
Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 432 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST34649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 346 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-20.5)backed Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$118.56
Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-13.5)backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.97
Spread: Baylor Bears (-7.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$75.83
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.14
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.27
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$93.56
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$108.79
Spread: Detroit Titans (-2.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.39
Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+150%+$180
Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-1.5)backed Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$25.77
Spread: Portland State Vikings (-3.5)backed Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.36
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$26.77
Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Spread: Fordham Rams (-8.5)backed Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$67.2
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.35
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$43.1
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-11.5)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.49
LSU Tigers vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.94
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.65
Showing 25 of 346 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST9350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Predators vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$46.2
Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Blues vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$113.4
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$35.89
Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Jets vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.25
Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90.2
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$22.15
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31.6
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$56
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.86
Maple Leafs vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$70.4
Flames vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$31
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Jets vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5040%20 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.09
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.37
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16.28
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.63
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Spread: Rams (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$59.12
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.83
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+163.2%+$74.4
Bills vs. Broncos: 1H Moneylinebacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+150%+$180
Miami vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.71
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$27.95
Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.3
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+185.7%+$29.84
Miami vs. Ole Miss: 1H Moneylinebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$63.9
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$63.9
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. Paris Basketballbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Real Madrid vs. BC Dubaibacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.