TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d8a…e842backed Under55c27,919$15,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,557.172458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over46c25,000$11,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,480.9322550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under54c12,340$6,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,676.3526849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c10,366$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,768.3686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over46c6,450$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.0351045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over44c5,787$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.421,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c4,294$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.862,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde5d…e2d7backed Under55c3,448$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.882166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Over52c2,955$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.0950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over47c2,011$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9430855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under54c1,538$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.3228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over45c1,523$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.253641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under5c1,423$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.852174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c1,421$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.192,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c1,286$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.161,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under55c1,207$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.7336748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over44c1,110$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.41,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c7…4138backed Under56c1,050$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under55c1,028$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.451,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,004$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.183,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Over47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over44c840$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.63545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c822.8$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under55c801$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691b…fce0backed Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over45c777.11$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.631753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ee…5a77backed Under54c754.04$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c752.52$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.192,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over47c639$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3347051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under54c633.18$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over45c615.21$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.385547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under49c576$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.091,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over47c536.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c447.03$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.752,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over45c447$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1512548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under54c425.93$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.931,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c389$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.89052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over44c360$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over45c299.3$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.81,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over52c268.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5711949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c262.05$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4960741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under56c251$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.449157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c220.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over45c214.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5416756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf17…dc1abacked Over47c212.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Under55c199.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c194.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.51,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over62c177.12$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.991,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under57c176.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3319353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over45c161.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8921856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over47c161$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2113557.8%78 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over51c160$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.341650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over67c146$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.351,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over60c134.72$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2429553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…8b6dbacked Under35c133.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over47c128.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.612630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54b0…b4f4backed Under55c127.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e9…d630backed Over47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+68.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under54c125.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6511855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under52c122.25$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2822655.3%125 W · 101 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under54c119.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8715349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b23…cad2backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3675…e4cdbacked Over44c113.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under56c109.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.386960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c108.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6478651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Over51c106.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.72917.2%5 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-65.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x31ff…a509backed Under55c104.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711644%51 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under51c96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4515354.9%84 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under55c95.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3925337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc76e…e4f0backed Under55c91.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.021136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c90.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4745151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under30c89.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.041,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Over45c88.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd72…cc45backed Over46c87.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.413923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under54c86.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.986844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Over65c80$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under54c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3610858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked Over49c64.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under51c64.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.638042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under54c62.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.825046%23 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdf…b929backed Under43c52.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.265259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c50.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.381,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55052%26 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f39…059fbacked Under37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under35c48.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.765939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0aa…13b3backed Under56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over65c46.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9233363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c6f…b0d3backed Over44c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.