TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe667…898f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Will Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39.31
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24.48
Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$36.06
Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$208.88
Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$83.76
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40.52
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.11
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.1%+$213.6
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.41
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$69.22
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.98
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-81.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.76
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$134.24
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.1%+$17.81
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$151.71
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.8%+$374.14
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30.61
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.76
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.26
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+99.6%+$25.96
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Favbet (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+119%+$42.58
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.25
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.93
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.34
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+48.4%+$20.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.66
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+103.6%+$22.49
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$84.52
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.73
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+110.3%+$22.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.44
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$69.71
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+259.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+259.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.