NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d3b73fc52518d9b0c3283b2da2aab7fd6cf697d826626c4e1ef7fb1babe6f8

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $257,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $259,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,137 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	47c	114,519$54,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,323.76	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under	53c	80,000$42,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,599.98	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	48c	77,785$37,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,316.39	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	52c	60,073$31,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,834.87	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under	52c	30,595$15,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,685.82	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under	52c	25,738$13,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,354.28	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	52c	13,577$7,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,455.2	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf43f…a885backed Over	47c	10,638$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6442…aa08backed Over	47c	7,887$3,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,707	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	55c	4,511$2,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,047.76	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over	47c	4,023$1,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,891	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	48c	2,676$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.54	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	69c	2,259$1,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.87	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over	27c	1,636$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.91	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Under	52c	1,565$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.18	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over	48c	1,539$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.99	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	23c	1,492$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.49	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	48c	1,386$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.37	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over	47c	1,277$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	52c	993.03$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.13	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	48c	965.15$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.27	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	48c	889.22$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.82	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	54c	860.07$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.1	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	52c	637.25$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.07	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	48c	544.4$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.17	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	41c	446.49$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.65	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over	49c	300.61$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.99	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	50c	300.31$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.67	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9456…44b1backed Over	44c	293.33$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.95	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Over	48c	244.08$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.99	139	45.3%63 W · 76 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	42c	186.35$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.42	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over	49c	152.53$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.74	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	48c	122.73$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.9	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over	48c	113.6$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.53	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Over	48c	113.6$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.53	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-8.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over	49c	98.75$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over	56c	88.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	47c	77.78$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.56	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over	48c	73.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.31	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed1b…4045backed Over	49c	71.71$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.33	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under	52c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over	48c	64.77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.09	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Over	46c	59.14$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under	51c	58.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Under	57c	57.57$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.67	163	54%88 W · 75 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ea…9406backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Over	49c	49.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.02	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Over	49c	48.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f0…d597backed Over	45c	44.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Under	63c	44.25$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.21	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7126…ccdbbacked Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over	48c	41.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Over	47c	40.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Under	52c	36.92$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.72	196	49%96 W · 100 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Under	62c	32.21$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.21	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5297…0f68backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5735…4c95backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5c…dcf0backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under	54c	28.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.03	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under	53c	25.41$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	51c	22.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked Over	54c	20.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.29per pick	42cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	51c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e2…3d27backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc569…e116backed Under	54c	19.11$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5this page
1H Spread: Pelicans (-0.5)Grizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. PelicansPelicans won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 22.5No won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 10.5No won
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event