NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5309134b14e521e19a3c30f5efe3b5e1d83790d21d462a48f0a741f55c1d9f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 58c | 24,076$13,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,190.54 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 16,563$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Over | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…6b31backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 45c | 2,100$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.99 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 1,847$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 1,002$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 1,000$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 42c | 897.41$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 791.67$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 53c | 767.28$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.62 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 42c | 596.59$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 42c | 523.29$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 59c | 437$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 9c | 426.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Under | 61c | 325.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 41c | 307.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 42c | 299.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 296.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 294.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 43c | 232.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 229.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 227.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Under | 55c | 180.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 151$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Under | 55c | 149.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 41c | 146.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 77c | 119.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 110.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 62c | 107.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 54c | 100.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 54c | 89.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 76.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 61c | 65.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 62c | 54.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 40c | 52.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 39c | 42.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 40c | 41.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Over | 46c | 36.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 44c | 33.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 54c | 31.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Over | 47c | 31.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 29.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 45c | 23.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 60c | 21.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-0.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.