NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd024cf3ea36fe2d90b3b253d1b26e662cfe50cdba15591542ed80f92c994232a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 13,283$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 51c | 9,917$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.37 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…f0afbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 8,755$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 6,749$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,547$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,039$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,959$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,792$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.06 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,725$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.25 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,715$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,092$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,702$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.94 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,603$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.73 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,319$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.74 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,150$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.05 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 1,141$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.93 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pelicans | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pelicans | 50c | 950.2$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.1 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 50c | 785$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 52c | 735.91$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.71 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pelicans | 53c | 698.22$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.16 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans | 52c | 539.7$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.58 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 385$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies | 44c | 339$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 49c | 330.42$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 50c | 281.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 276$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Pelicans | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Grizzlies | 50c | 227.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Pelicans | 45c | 223.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 213.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Pelicans | 52c | 210.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 201.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 200.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pelicans | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Grizzlies | 50c | 143.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 50c | 143.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 50c | 128.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Grizzlies | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Pelicans | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…3f1abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 118.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 116.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Grizzlies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Pelicans | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Grizzlies | 47c | 95.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Pelicans | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Pelicans | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 12c | 85.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 81.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Grizzlies | 45c | 73.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pelicans | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Grizzlies | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Pelicans | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pelicans | 49c | 55.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Grizzlies | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 49c | 53.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Pelicans | 51c | 52.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 48c | 51.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Pelicans | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Pelicans | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 40.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 40.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…74e1backed Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Pelicans | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pelicans | 52c | 39.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…7931backed Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7b…5b9ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…bf68backed Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…7581backed Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…ff6cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…82dcbacked Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…5824backed Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…490abacked Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Pelicans | 51c | 36.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Pelicans | 51c | 33.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Grizzlies | 51c | 33.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Grizzlies | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pelicans | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…245dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…9977backed Pelicans | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…c93fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d8e6backed Pelicans | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Pelicans | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…2556backed Grizzlies | 49c | 28.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Pelicans | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies | 47c | 27.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-0.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.