NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38f11490071b162e66fcbc13ad65a78d4b7bf9adca16917f04458cb04a299362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 138,433$61,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,448.63 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 52c | 93,776$49,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,576.89 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 79,219$37,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,609.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 35,582$16,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,457.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 53c | 35,181$18,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,557.79 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 55c | 16,188$8,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,284.37 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 12,725$6,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980.52 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 5,592$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 3,786$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Under | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 44c | 1,932$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,877$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 1,671$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.95 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 46c | 1,404$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.84 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,340$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,098$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 54c | 810.49$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.1 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 784$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 718.09$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 56c | 712.38$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.45 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 54c | 654$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.84 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 47c | 554.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 349$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 49c | 283.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 275$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 218.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 124.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Over | 47c | 118.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 47c | 118.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 49c | 118.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 105.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 98.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 94.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 45c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 49c | 73.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed Over | 49c | 69.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 47c | 57.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Over | 49c | 50.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 44c | 49.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 44c | 45.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…74e1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…4ddcbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…7931backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…3738backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7b…5b9ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e7…b890backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…af31backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…c93fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…60fdbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -79%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…6030backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…490abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…a150backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 44c | 42.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…a9afbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…5ce8backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 28.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…20abbacked Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Under | 53c | 23.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-0.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.