TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over44c138,433$61,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,448.6354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under56c100,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,999.9740446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Under52c93,776$49,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,576.8921057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c79,219$37,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,609.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under55c40,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c35,582$16,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,457.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under53c35,181$18,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,557.7960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under55c16,188$8,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,284.371,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over47c12,766$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under53c12,725$6,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,980.5220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70017250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c5,592$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c3,786$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.982,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Under55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9452646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under54c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over44c1,932$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85016442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c1,877$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.123,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c1,671$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over46c1,404$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.8458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c1,340$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.435,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c1,098$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under54c810.49$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c784$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under54c750$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3456659.1%39 W · 27 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c718.09$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under56c712.38$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.4519135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under54c654$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8429243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over47c554.5$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c349$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.193,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over49c283.32$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5221645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over45c275$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c218.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.272,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over47c124.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under52c121$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8341048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Over47c118.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3915040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over47c118.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3916443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over49c118.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4615849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974e…c090backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under54c105.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.043,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5254351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.211,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c98.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c94.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.041,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over45c79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.551,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over49c73.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.962450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed1b…4045backed Over49c69.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.76048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011656%65 W · 51 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over48c60.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over47c57.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2535747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Over49c50.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.714352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2449351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over44c49.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over44c45.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0440344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29fe…74e1backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eda…4ddcbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfece…7931backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9579…3738backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc7b…5b9ebacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e7…b890backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…af31backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ff…c93fbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cf…60fdbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-79%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbbbe…6030backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4e…490abacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b79…a150backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over44c42.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5650841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1847948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20a1…a9afbacked Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092969%20 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ce…5ce8backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c28.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c5…20abbacked Over47c27.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over49c26.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Under53c23.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0211546.1%53 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over47c23.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117650%88 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.