TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Grizzlies, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,980,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,072,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,980,570 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies46c294,317$134,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,338.8987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies44c275,244$119,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,893.172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Pelicans55c180,222$99,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,373.0821057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies45c139,419$62,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,138.6151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans57c100,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,00048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Pelicans53c80,000$42,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,599.9520055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans56c50,000$27,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,025.2860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,499.9443148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans55c40,329$22,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,295.672,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Grizzlies43c38,721$16,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,65016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Grizzlies45c35,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,75017554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Pelicans58c32,888$19,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,812.8617646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans55c31,808$17,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,290.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans57c31,568$17,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,574.441,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans53c30,000$15,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,10038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Pelicans56c26,000$14,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4405648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Grizzlies44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies1c25,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pelicans56c24,932$13,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,966.0814358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans57c23,300$13,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,01959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies41c21,641$8,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,803.974,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pelicans55c19,609$10,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,900.7448944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies9c18,999$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.461,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Grizzlies43c18,469$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0003938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Grizzlies45c17,897$8,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,053.6513455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans57c17,500$9,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,524.981,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Pelicans57c16,666$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,166.387640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies1c15,738$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.485213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans54c15,180$8,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,988.546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Grizzlies43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.9919048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Grizzlies49c14,760$7,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,279.1812143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans53c14,117$7,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,587.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans56c13,691$7,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,063.012,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies28c13,188$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Grizzlies45c13,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,85010035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Pelicans55c13,000$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,849.939758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans55c12,767$7,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,734.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies44c12,635$5,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,559.430845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Grizzlies57c12,630$7,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,182.192941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans56c12,314$6,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,418.031,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans55c12,205$6,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,492.2340350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies12c11,464$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.371,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11bc…aa21backed Grizzlies44c11,159$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies43c10,359$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee39…a40abacked Grizzlies47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Pelicans50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00021944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pelicans57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans55c9,467$5,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies0c9,414$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans54c8,950$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.2592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans55c7,886$4,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.952,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Grizzlies14c7,700$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.3550241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Pelicans54c7,472$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.2229347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies22c7,072$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.661,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Grizzlies45c6,700$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01518151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies45c6,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92532039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Pelicans57c6,491$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.2320849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pelicans53c6,372$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.8458449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Grizzlies53c6,253$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.6219136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies44c6,129$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.1935450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies0c6,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.958820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Grizzlies2c6,081$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies46c6,065$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.9965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Pelicans54c5,981$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.2814152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Pelicans54c5,447$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.0539958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies42c5,100$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Grizzlies41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Pelicans57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.8719751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd42c…f6aabacked Pelicans54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick40cpaid+77.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans55c4,897$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.4971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies36c4,834$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Grizzlies45c4,800$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1609054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Pelicans55c4,800$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.968640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ca…5a06backed Pelicans54c4,750$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies41c4,588$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.0889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pelicans45c4,401$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.8322458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Grizzlies45c4,228$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.628742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x614e…f00fbacked Grizzlies45c4,201$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Pelicans55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80039744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Pelicans58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Grizzlies45c3,784$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.7434654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Pelicans57c3,772$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.9623630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Pelicans58c3,725$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.1335251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Grizzlies54c3,683$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Grizzlies48c3,490$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.9237944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pelicans54c3,344$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.0372450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Grizzlies14c3,324$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45045838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Grizzlies43c3,259$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.4817356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pelicans55c3,203$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.4428649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pelicans56c3,011$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.8141832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653d…b3a7backed Grizzlies42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2603050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…b200backed Grizzlies46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3801662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0d…a667backed Pelicans55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.