TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3ea…bb01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,580
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$9,487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$53,757.17
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$522
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.98
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$750
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,989Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,911
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$3,848.62
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,199.14
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,397
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,221
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,800
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$6,440
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$5,000
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12,320
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11,340
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14,100
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18,300
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$9,430
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+79.9%+$11,099.96
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$9,000
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,739
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$765
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,998Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$3,690.24
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+300%+$5,250
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,280
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,750
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$735
Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,280
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,730
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,682.23
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,604Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,596
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,060
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,250
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,200
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$5,250
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13,500
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,700
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13,500
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14,700
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18,900
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$8,799.96
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$7,056
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,016Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$6,784
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,775Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$4,725
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15,050
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15,050
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,418Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.1%+$6,683.8
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$292.5
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.39
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$892.2
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,544Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$6,040.76
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,427.42
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-2.5)backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.77
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.54
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-7.5)backed Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.6
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,286.49
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Lindenwood Lionsbacked Lindenwood Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$454.99
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-7.5)backed USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,016.52
Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,035
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$877.98
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$7,950
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baezbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,450
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.