TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 157.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,927 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x617b…a499backed Over52c29,738$15,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,133.0424451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c16,503$7,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,936.3546246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Over52c12,585$6,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,040.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c8,900$4,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.0512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under48c8,095$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.324746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c4,455$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.112,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over52c4,385$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.6416341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under48c3,711$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.5739454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under48c3,210$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.8914346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over53c2,835$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.4510443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under39c2,813$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.4224121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over51c2,682$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30313343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c2,456$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.975,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Under49c2,023$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.252450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Over52c2,004$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Over53c1,996$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.282360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbe…1e19backed Under47c1,890$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c1,454$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.235,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over53c1,316$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.3518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over40c1,266$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.038754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under46c1,259$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.925349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c1,241$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.0884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c1,105$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.542246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5286142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over52c1,052$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7512344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a2…9ac5backed Under58c1,013$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over51c1,010$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.95639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Over54c1,009$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.112040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c1,004$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8718744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdce8…8663backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Over51c940.82$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4613956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over66c793.69$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2815556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c692.75$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.093,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under59c664.13$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3419958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under8c663.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over51c640.82$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31418556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under7c620$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over51c583.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7124847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under71c561.34$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.14546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Under9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under46c499.54$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7927947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under58c484.62$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8484854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc098…7e69backed Under49c445.05$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over53c432.68$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.366342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c429.8$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.041,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Under47c421.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.261050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over37c406.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9913141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c387.55$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2716147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf87…7df1backed Under47c334.26$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…4ddebacked Over54c333.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Under30c319.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.112441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over64c310.72$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2610144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c306.25$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.874,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over52c306$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8891848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c288.24$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4716650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c263.64$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.851,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under9c230$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.19725.8%25 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under20c204.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.113737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Under33c199.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.842433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Under15c190$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.983327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under19c159.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.252729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under59c141.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.357753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under28c139.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.577443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over62c119.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2258652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Over51c112.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.246246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under38c112.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.737258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over54c110.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0130054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Under46c107.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.573943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under46c106.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9964647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over47c105.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.923149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Under48c103.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x935b…bdbabacked Over50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4862451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Under30c99.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.782045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over59c94.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over51c87.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Under26c86.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.413357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over51c83.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c74.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3721850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under26c67.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.574753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under39c64.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.067856.4%44 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under27c63.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0724951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under49c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over51c58.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.579150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c55.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c53.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4829650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…acb1backed Over52c38.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.