TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7248…8cb4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
683
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT16341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$561
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.75
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,768.88
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,161.59
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$29.4
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.48
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$637.28
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,485.63
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.91
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$88.15
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,144
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$1,663.21
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$222.72
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.02
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$705
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.66
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$96.23
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$843.54
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$200
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.4
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT12850%64 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.5
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.02
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+55%+$141.5
LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Bubliki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$192.77
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.16
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$332.25
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$182.59
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$6.07
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.8
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$135.97
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$111
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.61
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,323.33
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,318.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$127.21
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$18.84
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.26
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.7
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Spread: Magic (-14.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.09
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$131
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$570.45
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$572
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.3
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.25
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.64
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$561
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$811.06
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+110%+$833.26
Spread: Heat (-18.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$583.8
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$582.99
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$693
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT6053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Barça eSports GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.53
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.39
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Barça eSports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$320
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$287.64
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$61.78
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.7
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180.39
Valorant: MIR vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked MIR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.39
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Valorant: Misa Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.46
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsbacked HGE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.87
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.03
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.39
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$116.29
Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagebacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$112.48
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$74.03
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.91
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked DNSTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$53.67
Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$43.47
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group Abacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$160.84
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT5545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.64
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.46
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$37.7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.07
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.04
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.48
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$324
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+68%+$161.97
Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$179.8
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$182.42
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.95
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$153.35
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.89
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.64
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.33
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$155.09
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.25
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.05
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$38.96
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.4
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT5238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.32
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$639.52
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.23
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$55.88
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$331.49
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.97
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.27
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.45
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$47.76
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$94.14
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$482.39
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+62.6%+$77
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,417.24
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$5,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,884.87
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41.6%+$1,067.09
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50,584.6
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+304.3%+$3,535.03
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.5
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$288.41
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$199.28
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$89.64
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$103.51
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$533.54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.97
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,685.97
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$156
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$732
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$360
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399.99
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.89
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+182.1%+$7,099.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$216
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.52
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.14
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.64
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.51
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.96
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.8
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$453
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$230.5
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$130.12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$222.76
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$270
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,599.1
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.35
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.6
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300.03
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.84
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,438Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+89.4%+$3,072.92
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$801.19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,051.87
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+73%+$29,281.09
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,493.52
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-67.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,186.78
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12,359Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+514.9%+$63,637.29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$91.69
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,299.56
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,997.81
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,000.92
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,091.08
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63,330.15
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$89,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$89,877.34
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$5,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,088.79
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,192.35
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,960.87
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,438.17
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,808.05
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900.18
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,013.35
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,474.96
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.88
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$8,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,207.81
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$1,808.82
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$451.25
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$141.19
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+144.8%+$832.25
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,882.7
US forces in Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+145.2%+$1,860.95
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+215.8%+$407.12
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$516.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$191.43
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.76
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$44.24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37.5%+$73
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$529.02
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+93.9%+$193.76
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-68.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$130.02
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.1%+$138
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$88.5
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$726
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noetix Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.