Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Barça eSports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8000370828e8c9e148558b19d2577bbb9a27e52087e97bbacc06b9f343304e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSports GCof Karmine Corp GC, Barça eSports GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 3,722$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.23 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed Barça eSports GC | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Barça eSports GC | 32c | 1,222$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.41 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Barça eSports GC | 38c | 940.24$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.92 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Karmine Corp GC | 69c | 478.3$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.03 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp GC | 65c | 400$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Barça eSports GC | 45c | 393.89$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.64 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Barça eSports GC | 30c | 337$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Barça eSports GC | 35c | 215.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Karmine Corp GC | 67c | 179.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Barça eSports GC | 31c | 171$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed Barça eSports GC | 31c | 163$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Karmine Corp GC | 69c | 162$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Barça eSports GC | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Barça eSports GC | 36c | 157.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Karmine Corp GC | 70c | 157$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Barça eSports GC | 35c | 155$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Barça eSports GC | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Karmine Corp GC | 74c | 135.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Barça eSports GC | 30c | 126.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Barça eSports GC | 39c | 120.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked Barça eSports GC | 32c | 100.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Barça eSports GC | 34c | 98.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Barça eSports GC | 31c | 82.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…3878backed Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 81.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Karmine Corp GC | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Karmine Corp GC | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Barça eSports GC | 25c | 48.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…aff0backed Barça eSports GC | 34c | 45.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc3…0654backed Karmine Corp GC | 75c | 42.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Barça eSports GC | 49c | 38.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked Barça eSports GC | 32c | 36.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Karmine Corp GC | 66c | 36.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Karmine Corp GC | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Karmine Corp GC | 73c | 27.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Barça eSports GC | 45c | 23.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 21.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 15.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.