TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Wildcatsof Arizona Wildcats, Arkansas Razorbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e3a…3246backed Arkansas Razorbacks36c88,249$31,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,712.4714940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Arizona Wildcats68c78,213$53,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,109.5825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c62,853$28,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,912.573842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks47c62,143$28,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,981.182,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Arizona Wildcats53c59,477$31,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,954.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Arizona Wildcats54c41,437$22,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,061.141947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Wildcats54c18,842$10,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,736.171,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…1eebbacked Arizona Wildcats54c17,990$9,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,275.571040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+104.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c17,937$8,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,430.187231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona Wildcats53c15,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9736944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c14,869$6,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,988.532445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Arizona Wildcats55c12,717$6,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.71650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c10,586$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7008946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.984628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Arkansas Razorbacks45c9,901$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.5627755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Arizona Wildcats52c8,085$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.7214854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks46c7,276$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.545,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2903531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x217f…9812backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c6,090$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,861.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-82.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Arizona Wildcats52c5,200$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.8810648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Arkansas Razorbacks46c5,192$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.5546246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…1de3backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8802,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks46c3,965$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82410739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Arizona Wildcats54c3,672$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.894656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22ff…8590backed Arkansas Razorbacks45c3,406$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102d…54bcbacked Arizona Wildcats55c3,334$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Arizona Wildcats53c3,222$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.182055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c3,219$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.725437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c2,923$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.9318744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c2,539$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.163333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks47c2,334$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.846336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Arkansas Razorbacks47c2,205$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.1913343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c2,169$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.8717643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Arizona Wildcats54c1,983$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9124946.9%23 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks20c1,867$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.257540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c1,771$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Arkansas Razorbacks30c1,696$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-78.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Arizona Wildcats52c1,517$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.3184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Arkansas Razorbacks48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70516341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Arkansas Razorbacks47c1,487$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.856127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks36c1,374$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked Arizona Wildcats54c1,316$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.261656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Arkansas Razorbacks48c1,291$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.544443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c1,265$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.741,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Arizona Wildcats55c1,172$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.216643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Arizona Wildcats54c1,125$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.082755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Arizona Wildcats53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Arizona Wildcats54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4608254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Arizona Wildcats53c996.24$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.232462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Arizona Wildcats54c991.31$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4564957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c991.28$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.916350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Arizona Wildcats53c935.17$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.533369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Arizona Wildcats53c935.17$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.531838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa6…cbb7backed Arizona Wildcats53c935.17$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Arizona Wildcats54c917.88$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.222892.9%26 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.29per pick64cpaid+46.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Arizona Wildcats54c910.53$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.857048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c871.32$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1214447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Arizona Wildcats53c856.62$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.611080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+78.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Arizona Wildcats53c785.54$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.213357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Arizona Wildcats61c731.02$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.574257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Arizona Wildcats54c718.7$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks48c693.88$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.0616147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c692.18$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.858246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ad…81c8backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c690.19$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Arizona Wildcats54c644.35$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Arizona Wildcats54c611.31$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.212749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb1…0787backed Arkansas Razorbacks49c606.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.38955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Arizona Wildcats54c594.78$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.62268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x264a…b6a6backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c594.77$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks39c562.69$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1413342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas Razorbacks45c538.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.135,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Arkansas Razorbacks48c519.75$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.487749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Arkansas Razorbacks48c515.21$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.36459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23037246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Arizona Wildcats55c471.32$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.177140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Arizona Wildcats55c450.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.773234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Arizona Wildcats52c449.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.999151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Arizona Wildcats53c428.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.277258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c04…a98fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks47c421.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ec…3db5backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c421.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.262722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197a…d3d1backed Arizona Wildcats54c413.04$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Arizona Wildcats54c396.52$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.42365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks47c396.51$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3617051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Arizona Wildcats53c389.57$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.15959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Arizona Wildcats53c389.03$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.843177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Arizona Wildcats63c383.58$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.442365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a8d…150bbacked Arizona Wildcats53c374.07$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.811650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Arizona Wildcats54c367.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.897044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Arizona Wildcats54c359.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.536261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Arizona Wildcats54c359.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5322954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Arizona Wildcats54c359.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.535457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Arizona Wildcats54c359.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.531566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Arizona Wildcats54c359.81$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.512462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arkansas Razorbacks27c325.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.121,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c325.33$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4285248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Arkansas Razorbacks48c315.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.421342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.