Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf819e1271eb99985143505bd2ad3ca397515a37e741e66b411e954c8ef14ab97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 50c | 188,008$93,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,079.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 91,186$46,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,324.89 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 57,803$28,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,601.76 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 44,436$22,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,218.18 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 53c | 22,674$12,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,010.81 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 20,311$9,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,561.72 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 47c | 12,480$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.39 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 50c | 11,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 50c | 10,845$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 50c | 10,640$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.21 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 9,997$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 48c | 9,721$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.09 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 8,066$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.87 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 7,029$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 5,589$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.78 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 4,725$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.96 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 4,505$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.56 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 4,201$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.58 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,502$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 50c | 3,275$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.54 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 50c | 2,974$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 50c | 2,918$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 50c | 2,348$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.15 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 2,110$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 50c | 1,995$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 1,982$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.14 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…dcc2backed Over | 48c | 1,944$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 51c | 1,943$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,940$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 1,937$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.37 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,750$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 1,458$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.44 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,264$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.18 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Over | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…d180backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…9c5ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…07b9backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…67a2backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…4acdbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…83d0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…ece6backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…7333backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 977.43$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.04 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 961.36$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.52 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 53c | 935.17$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 49c | 830.21$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.8 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 50c | 788.83$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.41 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 740.49$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.46 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…9eb1backed Over | 50c | 607.84$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 49c | 606.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 51c | 606.38$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.59 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 592.79$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 578.7$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 559.29$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.01 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 51c | 553.12$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Over | 49c | 551.26$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Under | 50c | 497.61$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Over | 49c | 495.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.77 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under | 52c | 476.57$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Over | 50c | 459.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 51c | 455.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.43 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 48c | 413.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Under | 49c | 397.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…0c67backed Over | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 395.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.71 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 370.55$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Over | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 280.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Over | 50c | 276.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 49c | 273.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 51c | 266.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 51c | 253.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Under | 51c | 253.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 51c | 252.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 50c | 237.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5this page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 167.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 175.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 185.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 191.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)Arizona Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.