TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe182…b624

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
274
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT11225.9%29 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.17
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.8
MegaETH FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.5
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.64
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.3
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.74
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.29
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$365
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.89
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT5552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$536.47
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$546
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$801
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$1,034.24
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,225
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$525.2
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.85
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$572
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,196.95
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$561
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$130.75
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.34
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.59
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$612
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.41
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$133.32
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$594
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.36
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$528
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-72.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$930
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$209
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.15
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$645
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.8
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.69
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.76
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.73
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.13
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$8,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$8,605.87
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$736.12
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+170.3%+$31.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68.1
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.06
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+191.1%+$391.79
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$51
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$100.1
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$856
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+120.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$310.5
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$210.69
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$550
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$305.6
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.52
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.96
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$546
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-82.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30.59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+71.2%+$462.46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+55.5%+$535.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$390.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.