China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258b4cb261f282d9079d7c3f927d5631d14d2d8d6756855c373db429f5884f0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 8c | 10,969$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…ab1dbacked Yes | 6c | 10,515$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 7,285$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,745$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…3405backed Yes | 4c | 5,498$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,402$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.59 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 23cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…df7ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,356$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes | 5c | 3,256$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,944$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked Yes | 3c | 2,944$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed Yes | 4c | 2,605$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…cc76backed Yes | 5c | 2,373$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…df34backed Yes | 5c | 2,019$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,866$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…d33bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,705$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,626$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…ec47backed Yes | 9c | 1,576$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 6c | 1,554$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb99…6e8cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,516$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…b4b0backed Yes | 6c | 1,457$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,347$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e02…098cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,230$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…cb1ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,192$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…96d5backed Yes | 9c | 1,158$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed Yes | 7c | 1,146$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…e1febacked Yes | 5c | 1,137$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Yes | 2c | 1,056$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 5c | 1,054$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd112…6622backed Yes | 11c | 1,027$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,020$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…baebbacked Yes | 10c | 1,006$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…5c2abacked Yes | 4c | 988.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes | 11c | 950.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 11c | 921.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 7c | 911.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 4c | 849.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 846.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 7c | 832.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 3c | 800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…893cbacked Yes | 4c | 789.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.47per pick | 17cpaid | +365.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…26bfbacked Yes | 7c | 775.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…eb15backed Yes | 10c | 738.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…bdf8backed Yes | 4c | 722$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Yes | 4c | 721.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…7937backed Yes | 7c | 717.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…9eb1backed Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 7c | 672.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 4c | 651.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Yes | 8c | 650.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…ce2bbacked Yes | 8c | 642.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…6b06backed Yes | 3c | 614.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…6956backed Yes | 4c | 597.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…09cabacked Yes | 8c | 593.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…0f75backed Yes | 4c | 585.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…6871backed Yes | 3c | 522.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…a031backed Yes | 8c | 517.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…237ebacked Yes | 5c | 505.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…7961backed Yes | 10c | 504.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…e71dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…14a9backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…f2e9backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…c4f0backed Yes | 6c | 497.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…6655backed Yes | 10c | 495.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 5c | 490.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 8c | 490$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5289…8a8ebacked Yes | 3c | 488.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c81…ff3dbacked Yes | 6c | 479.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…66e9backed Yes | 4c | 448.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…9eeebacked Yes | 4c | 445.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…4061backed Yes | 5c | 441.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Yes | 5c | 425.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…b217backed Yes | 5c | 420.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…c2c3backed Yes | 5c | 418.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…b91fbacked Yes | 9c | 418$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4833…74bfbacked Yes | 9c | 411.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…b8c1backed Yes | 8c | 406.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…090fbacked Yes | 5c | 400.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c9…e999backed Yes | 6c | 388$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 8c | 381.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 3c | 380.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…d307backed Yes | 5c | 363.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 5c | 362.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Yes | 6c | 352.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7191…53b4backed Yes | 10c | 333.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…dc99backed Yes | 5c | 322.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Yes | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca37…ab34backed Yes | 8c | 312.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…cdcabacked Yes | 4c | 309.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Yes | 5c | 305$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…f394backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…b412backed Yes | 8c | 298.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.