China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480733dc7745eeb13cf757847c3d196be5a6fee383ed3d4a3b00dcbfb6395908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 9,817$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x411a…5a86backed Yes | 1c | 5,928$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…d75bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,915$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 77c | 1,557$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 13c | 1,507$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,447$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,370$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,300$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 23cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,143$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked Yes | 19c | 1,040$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes | 14c | 999.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ef…c56abacked Yes | 13c | 916$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…49d4backed No | 76c | 780.75$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 74c | 705.32$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked No | 77c | 666.86$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 80c | 650.75$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +7.5wins | +0.42per pick | 53cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…2d7dbacked Yes | 19c | 586.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…6497backed No | 79c | 578.87$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 73cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 14c | 559.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…9218backed Yes | 13c | 540.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 19c | 525.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe192…c237backed Yes | 10c | 517$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…fec1backed Yes | 12c | 501.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…e3e3backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 465$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4a…c962backed Yes | 5c | 421.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 14c | 406.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 6c | 373.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed Yes | 23c | 371.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…0f72backed Yes | 15c | 367.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…3977backed Yes | 13c | 361.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 344.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…887abacked Yes | 10c | 316.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7191…53b4backed Yes | 18c | 314.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…1aaabacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 23c | 297.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 13c | 288.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5298…93f8backed Yes | 7c | 288.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed No | 78c | 256.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…f12ebacked Yes | 16c | 256.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Yes | 23c | 255.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…f25fbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…ce2bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd67…d72dbacked Yes | 6c | 249.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…a8d5backed Yes | 13c | 236.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked No | 79c | 231.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…e1febacked Yes | 6c | 230.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 221.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d22…7ca1backed Yes | 13c | 215.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…08f0backed Yes | 10c | 212.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…e3febacked Yes | 14c | 207.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…68a0backed Yes | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fc…8f75backed Yes | 12c | 205.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 7c | 201.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 8c | 199.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…7c43backed No | 78c | 197.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…ac80backed Yes | 8c | 195.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 24c | 185.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 10c | 183.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…45e5backed Yes | 17c | 176.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 168.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…eb9cbacked Yes | 24c | 167.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3df…b52abacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…9c0dbacked Yes | 9c | 159.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c46…5053backed Yes | 26c | 151.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 80c | 147.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…da0fbacked Yes | 25c | 141.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 11c | 132.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf954…ba33backed Yes | 23c | 129.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8e5dbacked Yes | 9c | 125.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…fa4cbacked Yes | 16c | 123.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2e…d3cabacked Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9177…b89bbacked Yes | 13c | 111.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…4f1bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…a75fbacked Yes | 19c | 109.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…aaf2backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 19c | 105.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…df34backed Yes | 18c | 105.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9a…b78ebacked Yes | 12c | 104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 19c | 103.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…bd53backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 103$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…ed81backed Yes | 20c | 100.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6b…53b2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…8b2bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…7975backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…d61fbacked Yes | 18c | 85.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…779bbacked Yes | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…3bb6backed Yes | 24c | 82.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.