TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa06f…cbad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6929%20 W · 49 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$42.79
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.66
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.13
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.81
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.37
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$13.94
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.5
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$28.4
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$106.62
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.53
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.3
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3773%27 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. LA Lakersbacked LA Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.53
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Oklahoma City Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.6
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked San Antonio Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$39.58
NBA Summer League: Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celticsbacked Boston Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25.02
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.77
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked Cleveland Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.5
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolvesbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$9.4
NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.89
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Chicago Bullsbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$13.97
NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$29.71
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
NBA Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$19.94
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.75
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Sebastian Dominko vs Sebastian Sorgerbacked Sebastian Sorger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.2
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Adrienn Nagybacked Adrienn Nagy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Sunam Jeong vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Sunam Jeong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$46.9
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Jonathan Mridha vs Herman Hoeyeraalbacked Herman Hoeyeraal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Bloomfield Hills: J.J. Wolf vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Bloomfield Hills: Borna Gojo vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+89%+$47.1
Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$31.15
Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Giorgia Pedonebacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.25
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$18.1
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Yasmine Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Makarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$65.4
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andradebacked Timo Legout · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$106.75
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dangbacked Laura Mair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28%+$54.39
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.12
Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$30.09
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$15.57
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$49.13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.85
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$75.6
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$104.2
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$105.73
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$5.15
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+130.3%+$19.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$13.82
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$7.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.92
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$13.12
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.38
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$98.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$13.9
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$8.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.92
Will Magomed Zaynukov win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.06
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+524.4%+$83.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$7.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$18.11
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Mi New Yorkbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrainbacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$96.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$27.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.