Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60b495d37dd507b8c772939f972d53f68d359d40ffc3059323ae823f4579702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Yes | 55c | 2,138$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 46c | 1,830$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 48c | 1,364$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.95 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 54c | 356.23$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 11c | 308.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Yes | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Yes | 55c | 196.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…3534backed Yes | 19c | 152.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Yes | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 127.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…e617backed Yes | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 51c | 70.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 49c | 70.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League final?this page
- Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?Yes won
- Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League final?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.