TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95ec…3484

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.61
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.41
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$119.93
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$76.64
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$265.83
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$231.4
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.1
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.94
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.28
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.93
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$152.69
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$383.33
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.35
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$187.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Sabres (-2.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$184.76
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.1
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$244.54
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.76
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+270%+$135
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.41
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$699.95
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92%+$101.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$33.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+383.1%+$317.2
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$198.84
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$115.86
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$20.78
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.25
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$268.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$162.93
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$179.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$212.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$59.63
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$246.18
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.7
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$199.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+247.6%+$123.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertensbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$82.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.