Fifa International · resolved market
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe64969dda6cd505f1c09e93dcebe9fe29905f7e88684cadd2126e2a22311d468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f31…ac9fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,532$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 1,468$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.8 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 64c | 1,279$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.37 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.86 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 61c | 699.92$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 57c | 527.93$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 418.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.39 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…36f7backed No | 74c | 379.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Yes | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 47c | 271.12$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 40c | 247.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.01 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Yes | 40c | 231.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 28c | 228$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 24c | 225.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…a5c7backed No | 63c | 207.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 207.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 40c | 185$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked Yes | 39c | 182.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…eec3backed Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…b5bbbacked Yes | 40c | 157.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…8a32backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Yes | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 59c | 108.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 108.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…16b9backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 39c | 87.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 73.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…ea63backed Yes | 40c | 67.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…ff51backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 32c | 62.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…dc83backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes | 33c | 50.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba9a…f560backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…2516backed Yes | 40c | 49.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…9e6cbacked Yes | 40c | 46.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Yes | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…229fbacked Yes | 37c | 40.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 40c | 39.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Yes | 37c | 37.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 40c | 34.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…0589backed Yes | 40c | 29.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…1cabbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 23.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 60c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 63c | 18.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…aee5backed No | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Vega: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Vega: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Vega: 3+ shotsNo won
- Armando González: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goalsNo won
- César Huerta: 1+ assistsNo won
- César Huerta: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lyle Foster: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shotsYes won
- Roberto Alvarado: 2+ shotsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.