TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbe0…9e6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.36
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.03
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.83
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$130.71
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$59.05
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$49.85
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.09
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.6
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.96
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.74
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.37
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.78
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.78
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.08
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114.03
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$38.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$143.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$100.09
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.86
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.22
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-64.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.79
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.58
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+152%+$93.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,119.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,119.5%+$148.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$40.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.