TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bosnia and Herzegovinaof Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$292,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c24,781$18,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,690.927949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Canada27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4007129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd053…3c01backed Canada27c18,753$5,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,063.31238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-84.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Canada16c14,655$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.2251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c14,046$10,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.5577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Canada13c11,501$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.1816833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Canada28c11,163$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.8520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Canada27c9,844$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.522,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Canada17c9,807$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.422,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina72c9,791$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.5215950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da9…f4c3backed Canada5c9,653$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Canada27c8,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c6,935$5,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.661,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Canada8c6,841$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.221,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Canada9c5,575$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.553,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Canada27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Canada28c2,862$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…c697backed Canada27c2,740$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.91812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-80.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Canada13c2,454$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.422226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canada26c2,242$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.182,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Canada26c2,191$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.7115249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Canada26c2,059$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.231,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204540%18 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina64c1,916$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.6813059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Canada27c1,810$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.5732029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Canada9c1,797$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Canada2c1,792$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.842,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c1,760$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.0826949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina73c1,680$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Canada6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Canada26c1,544$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4351315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Canada27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Bosnia and Herzegovina74c1,149$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6522551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c1,144$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina73c1,000$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39c…08bcbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c999.94$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.987055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Canada27c997$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.192,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Canada22c978.98$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.131,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c923.1$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0117650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f6…2e00backed Canada28c909.29$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Canada8c897.65$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.897339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canada26c894.21$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.51,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf59…1064backed Canada10c875.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.51229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787b…932cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina73c849.97$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c758.33$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ba…0062backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c750$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d98…b3a3backed Canada7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1829463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c699.99$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18918465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Canada29c687.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009630.2%29 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2991…5743backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.682035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c669.59$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Canada27c666.67$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Bosnia and Herzegovina76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.892347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina74c651.35$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3522355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x101d…cad2backed Canada13c650$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.211224.1%27 W · 85 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c645$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1510652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c631.11$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.44938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Canada27c622.42$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0518822.3%42 W · 146 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Canada26c599.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15647442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c599$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c564.94$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.882835.7%10 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Canada27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c554.58$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.192552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1b…bb35backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.954641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39cf…6b4dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina73c545.61$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.615322.6%12 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5414568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c538$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2628162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c520.27$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Canada4c506.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.613751.1%70 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe798…3ef9backed Canada10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canada26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc310…0966backed Bosnia and Herzegovina72c499.87$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.962661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c497.84$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.421,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9d…84c5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c463.33$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.11668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Canada11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502015%3 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa1…2242backed Canada27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Canada11c421$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4310836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8abf…2cd1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.413250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b3…6180backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf855…9e8ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac5…4f92backed Canada27c404$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.082951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+51.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c403$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7823240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5895…2d43backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c398.59$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x295d…2613backed Bosnia and Herzegovina74c387.15$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked Canada27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014430.6%44 W · 100 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Canada27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb8…8489backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c365$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.556448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Canada17c361$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.343823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…50f5backed Canada28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Bosnia and Herzegovina73c343.85$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina73c341.38$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina73c340.42$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bosnia and Herzegovina72c336.95$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2481554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…b651backed Canada27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905728.1%16 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Bosnia and Herzegovina76c327.35$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.565440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Canada27c317.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6114317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6590…cf07backed Canada16c314.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.