TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,276 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdca1…fb09backed Over5c8,944$447 inLost-$447.26624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x101d…cad2backed Over4c1,049$47 inLost-$47.1511224.1%27 W · 85 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Under52c740.5$385 inWon+$355.447445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed68…3555backed Over50c400$200 inLost-$2002161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c223.5$112 inLost-$111.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over51c143.75$74 inLost-$748846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over80c129.33$103 inLost-$103.362,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c114.22$58 inWon+$563,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under48c100$48 inWon+$5257252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost-$3019660.7%119 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…2b56backed Over50c60$30 inLost-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over48c43$21 inLost-$20.6441344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x147d…7c03backed Over51c39.49$20 inLost-$207157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost-$2023544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under50c30$15 inWon+$151,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.