Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad9f76a59c7160acc8bb95e4507e7d2cf9316864a6b2f6329812c342049f1b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 79,693$10,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,991.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 14c | 14,199$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.3 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 21c | 13,838$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.98 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 2c | 4,459$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 79c | 2,558$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.91 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 3c | 2,047$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 1,757$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Over | 20c | 1,350$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630d…875abacked Over | 3c | 1,108$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 1,049$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Under | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 19c | 790.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 19c | 719.05$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 78c | 626.27$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 7c | 567$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 2c | 477$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 15c | 443.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Over | 23c | 438.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 410.69$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Over | 5c | 378.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 16c | 274.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over | 17c | 236.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 197 | 34.5%68 W · 129 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 15c | 219.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 19c | 173.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…f9d3backed Over | 21c | 96.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 71c | 77.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 78c | 64.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under | 80c | 54.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9b…4f34backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…90acbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Over | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…c6e4backed Under | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5this page
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.