TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,457 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c2,998$1,229 inLost-$1,229.091,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked Under59c2,043$1,206 inWon+$837.761681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.1wins+0.38per pick43cpaid+268.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x44c0…47c5backed Under59c847.46$500 inWon+$347.46988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Under78c702.63$545 inWon+$158.094641.3%19 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ea…66dbbacked Under79c511.39$404 inWon+$107.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over22c361.63$80 inLost-$79.5610137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over23c337.17$78 inLost-$77.557630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5859…a9b0backed Under79c269.62$213 inWon+$56.621866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under79c158$125 inWon+$33.182,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under79c158$125 inWon+$33.182,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under79c158$125 inWon+$33.183,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Over18c155.83$28 inLost-$2810420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Over21c115.82$24 inLost-$24.318231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under77c103.13$79 inWon+$23.776654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under79c100.63$79 inWon+$21.139947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Over23c84.82$20 inLost-$19.518731%27 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c17…0dd2backed Under79c72.15$57 inWon+$15.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc650…b5bbbacked Under77c59.21$46 inWon+$13.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+99.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over23c52.02$12 inLost-$11.9680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Under79c33.68$27 inWon+$7.071643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Under80c26.12$21 inWon+$5.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-70%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Under77c26.01$20 inWon+$5.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed Under77c26.01$20 inWon+$5.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked Under79c25.32$20 inWon+$5.324652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…2e04backed Under75c17.21$13 inWon+$4.341225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.