Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3c1c91da1b1812ab543790724ce67477ba0730688f1da88ce79ecf52226d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Yes | 20c | 3,439$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101d…cad2backed Yes | 5c | 2,151$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 1,945$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.26 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,089$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…fb09backed Yes | 5c | 702.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 70c | 481.85$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 431.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 79c | 402.9$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 32c | 312.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 36c | 279.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 15c | 259.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 17c | 255.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…bda6backed Yes | 16c | 242.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…6c99backed Yes | 35c | 241.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes | 15c | 222.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 168.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d231backed Yes | 21c | 159.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…748abacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…ffe6backed No | 65c | 130.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed No | 68c | 117.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…84f9backed No | 62c | 104.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed Yes | 32c | 86.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0473…fe8cbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…754cbacked Yes | 19c | 77.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…cdf1backed Yes | 19c | 75.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…d2eebacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.