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Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,124,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,161,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,124,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,063 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Over42c400,000$168,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,999.936627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under58c356,279$205,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,799.9620955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Over43c268,492$114,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,110.191250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Over42c216,085$90,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,240.2915249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under58c200,403$116,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,169.373237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Under58c131,747$76,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,333.942218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over42c128,973$54,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,348.1442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over47c104,349$49,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,258.399747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under58c100,000$58,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,999.9916331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Over43c87,363$37,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,922.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under59c82,488$48,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,115.042,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under57c67,894$38,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,194.5974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Over43c60,000$25,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,80013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Under53c60,000$31,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,2007346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Over41c50,678$20,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,778.088932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c42,680$25,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,611.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over41c40,000$16,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,399.9822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under58c40,000$23,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.8815950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Under57c30,000$17,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.979451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under58c25,846$15,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,774.11,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under58c22,518$12,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5352,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over44c19,778$8,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,698.224341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0445…e4dfbacked Over42c19,593$8,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,228.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over44c18,093$7,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,929.2713738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Under58c17,478$10,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,320.4715044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under52c17,070$8,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,137.2212146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over43c15,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c08…e586backed Under58c14,455$8,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,071.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under58c13,936$8,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,798.139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under58c12,614$7,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,241.932,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c11,803$5,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,926.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over42c11,319$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,753.843339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c10,797$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.523,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over40c10,070$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,027.987642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b68…1502backed Under57c10,050$5,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,297.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20010146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Under52c9,352$4,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.0910562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under59c9,337$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.6520262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under58c9,100$5,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8225543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under58c8,966$5,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.4110152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c8,738$5,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.021,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed Under59c8,620$5,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.123145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c8,508$3,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under57c8,360$4,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.6336031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Over43c6,975$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.254447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under58c6,823$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.7517748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under51c6,124$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.0436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Over42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5202050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over44c5,555$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.187020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under57c5,494$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.313259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Over45c5,365$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.034161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Under58c5,172$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.413636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7512254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Under59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.756743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10022846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Under59c4,653$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.688835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under58c4,353$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.137640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Under58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.3421442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Under59c4,300$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76310959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under58c4,254$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.5116546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over38c4,162$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under48c4,085$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.861,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under57c4,011$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.0224058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6404456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4351643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Under54c3,424$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.322437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c27…867ebacked Over42c3,317$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over43c3,300$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.9926445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Under51c3,018$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.993551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.9813748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under61c2,847$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.691,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under58c2,686$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.3448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under57c2,686$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.6511065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c2,579$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under43c2,485$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.1328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c2,455$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.233,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c0…901dbacked Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Over43c2,327$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Under43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5817751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over43c2,280$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.425537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Over43c2,274$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.666434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under67c2,250$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.73554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under62c2,100$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7982931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under64c2,000$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.725244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Under57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8604938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82019037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over30c1,999$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.6945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over40c1,971$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over45c1,933$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.5433843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under60c1,877$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.451,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under51c1,863$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.98243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over39c1,816$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.1874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06ff…70b7backed Under58c1,764$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.342250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.