TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$357,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over37c62,782$23,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,119.6842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Over20c21,773$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.5615249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over21c17,094$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.7659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under79c13,598$10,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.632,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under79c12,133$9,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.311,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c10,334$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under64c9,328$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.0420262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over22c8,813$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.818723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Over21c7,131$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.526627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a0…2378backed Under74c7,014$5,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.961369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over28c5,704$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.2939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under79c5,329$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.011,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Under79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05010959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Under79c4,709$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.96955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over23c4,127$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over21c4,095$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under79c3,733$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.831,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over7c3,710$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under79c3,200$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6651643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over2c3,150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over13c2,965$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.182,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under63c2,957$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.7777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under67c2,552$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.4511065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.6512554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Under80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over12c2,294$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.394,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over2c2,248$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.962,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over23c2,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47345421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under73c2,060$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.251,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Under73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7917751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under66c1,942$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.152846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Under80c1,931$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.176152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under80c1,777$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.45466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over23c1,711$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.4352455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5719158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over3c1,289$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6719247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.826100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d5…7344backed Under80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508439.3%33 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over7c1,210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under80c1,133$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under79c1,076$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9522551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c1,021$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0164443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21019037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under79c999.98$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Over21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under63c951.11$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.431,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over25c822.81$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6f…2715backed Under69c806.05$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+107.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…fa0abacked Under65c804.92$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.722487.5%21 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over19c799.95$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9917625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a2…6667backed Under63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.65560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d6…679abacked Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under79c612.5$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.621,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over24c574$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9928964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over9c564.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under79c506.87$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.141,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3314568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Under79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.338139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffaf…64c6backed Under74c500$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabea…6b82backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over20c499.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6632642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…1376backed Under80c489.85$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over37c478.72$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under78c455.52$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e91…91a4backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Over22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over22c445.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.083542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x896a…f878backed Over21c435.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.552138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Under80c434$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under62c430$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.417255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under69c427.38$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c427.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c409.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.092,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over22c409$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.981,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Over20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Under79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8440145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over40c396.42$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15712146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5824…8e3fbacked Under80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under77c350$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.513351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over22c348.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over26c342.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4238745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under77c342$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.161,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x101d…cad2backed Over18c327.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8511224.1%27 W · 85 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under63c310$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7534845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under72c302.68$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.912454.8%68 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Under80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602763%17 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11115655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over20c299.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8122226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over9c296.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under67c294.56$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.