TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xffaf…64c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT6841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.76
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.37
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.75
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spain to score first vs. Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.88
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
France vs. Senegal: Team to Take First Cornerbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.6
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$733
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.53
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$106.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.