TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No37c9,545$3,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.6374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No37c7,000$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.8719252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No56c5,267$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes62c5,053$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.37140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes63c4,050$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes31c3,266$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.6118843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.67431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No45c2,997$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes22c2,879$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.2214856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No38c2,510$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.832,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.9646464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes62c2,101$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.3543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No35c2,016$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.6613163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.1110537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.312556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No40c1,550$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9823729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3422448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes63c1,485$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.4311354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No40c1,432$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.7712241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Yes54c1,285$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.893534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9832765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0310339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Yes60c1,028$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Yes62c959.58$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6413953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1e…f3cdbacked No75c900$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes55c851.75$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.191,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes62c811.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1712634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…fd20backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.454560%27 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes63c793$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4111155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes62c769.62$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3a…dec9backed Yes60c727.13$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes77c690.22$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5216042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes63c646.94$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3711645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Yes63c632.25$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.937842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29f…0b9bbacked No63c583.31$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3651855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed No9c552.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0913813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No47c528.79$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.472,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes59c519.26$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.923251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes34c510.32$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3230220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Yes58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9919823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No38c499.95$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9812875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No57c484.53$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.029767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf138…0cecbacked Yes63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes62c469.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.416033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No40c467.7$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes37c464.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.431,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No40c456.21$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4815441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No12c455$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No38c449.92$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9710945%49 W · 60 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6722749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15217356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes62c399.98$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9911165.8%73 W · 38 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No40c337.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9131171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes61c329.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.611162.2%69 W · 42 L+16.7wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked No61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a6…0c24backed Yes63c327.09$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No36c321.02$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5734357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x511b…f6dabacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.464459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4614052.1%73 W · 67 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb81…7e34backed Yes63c314.71$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec0f…f51fbacked Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes61c299.98$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9915742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes70c284$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.210959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes54c277.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5731435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes63c258.45$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.514445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Yes61c254.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5814440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6969…73c9backed Yes62c250.85$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.322369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked No38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9527637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Yes62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No47c242.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.231,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed No15c227.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.195726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed No7c220.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.466910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No36c217.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7811440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No38c216.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8837971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd87…0ed7backed Yes25c213.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.831866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes49c204.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.514852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6911…9996backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x322b…2718backed No39c191.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c73…1795backed Yes63c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.482161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No52c182.34$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.541,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed No39c175.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.438838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes59c168.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3242336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No40c166.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.815034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed No39c166.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1215229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0701…f939backed No39c164.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…216dbacked Yes61c163.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.581968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.298328.9%24 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick15cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec8…8c9ebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2916750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x026f…4614backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed Yes63c160.06$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.227138%27 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.