Fifa International · resolved market
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea59e2e820ee52b44f39bfcbb5eb0a48452f6d78ea4ee3d9f9df09a4b882b3ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 64c | 1,800$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 63c | 1,218$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.79 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.12 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 37c | 804.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 37c | 526.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 67c | 499.93$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Yes | 32c | 411.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 65c | 409.75$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 69c | 338.76$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 34c | 294.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 233.72$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes | 36c | 169.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 35c | 135.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 77c | 92.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 86.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 37c | 83.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed No | 70c | 71.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 69.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…4c3cbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 23c | 53.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 64c | 53.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…db24backed Yes | 37c | 50.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…247bbacked Yes | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 63c | 44.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…b008backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…4758backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 65c | 22.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked No | 65c | 21.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 77c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 67c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 70c | 14.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsthis page
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsYes won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ shotsYes won
- Eberechi Eze: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 3+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 2+ goalsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 3+ goalsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ assistsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.