TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e62…64a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+190.1%+$76.04
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$6.07
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.81
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.07
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$17.41
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58%+$38.12
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$5.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Germany vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65%+$7.95
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$61.22
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.51
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$68.33
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+226.5%+$50.67
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+378.2%+$151.29
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$16.24
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.83
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will David Malukas win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Scott Dixon win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$15.61
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+214.7%+$128.84
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$32.87
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$10.58
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.17
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$131.22
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$25.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+79%+$9.48
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$3.78
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$3.51
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$8.5
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+97.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.